Hubbert was challenging an entrenched belief in american petroleum abundance. In the paper that he presented to the american petroleum institute, hubbert correctly predicted that production of oil would peak in the continental us around 1965 to 1970. Development of hubberts peak oil theory and analysis of its. King hubberts basic petroleum resource depletion model, the hubbert curve, that became the. D in 1937, studying geology, mathematics, and physics. King hubbert was a brilliant scientist and mathematician who worked for shell and later the usgs.
When he was four his mother organized a school for neighborhood children, an undertaking that impressed him deeply. Learn about marion s life, his birthday, zodiac sign, and real facts here. King hubbert published a model for the growth and decline over time of the production rates of oil extracted from the land mass of the continental united states. The socalled hubbert curve is now widely used in the analysis of peaking production of conventional petroleum. Gregor macdonald applauds a biography of prescient geologist and energy theorist marion king hubbert. A brilliant geologic thinker, an authority in the recon. He made several important contributions to geology, geophysics, and petroleum geology, most notably the hubbert curve and hubbert peak theory a basic component of peak oil, with important political ramifications. Background of hubbert peak theory an american geophysicist marion king hubbert developed a model of known oil reserves in the u. Hubbert is best known for developing the theory of peak oil.
The first comprehensive biography of marion king hubbert, the father of peak oil. A scientists work does not always intersect neatly with the events of their time, but that was the good fortune of us geologist and oilman marion king hubbert 190389. Peak oil or theory postulates the point at which the worlds oil supplies go into irreversible decline. Mar 06, 2007 1976 video clip of m king hubbert speaking about world oil depletion and explaining the concept of peak oil. Development of hubberts peak oil theory and analysis of.
King hubbert s 1956 statistical modeling, united states oil production would peak between 1965 and 1971. Hubbert made several contributions to geophysics, including a mathematical demonstration that rock in the earths crust, because it is under immense pressure in large areas, should exhibit plasticity, similar to clay. Similar to the predictions of the hubbert curve, the hubbert peak theory implies that maximum production from an oil reserve. Marion king hubbert technocracy wiki fandom powered by. King hubbert suggested his discovery of peak oil wouldnt lead to collapse, but instead would usher in the use of nuclear power. Marion king hubbert was an american geophysicist working for shell oil in 1956 when he presented a research paper to the oil industry trade group the american petroleum institute, where he showed that for any geographical area and by implication, for the planet as a whole, petroleum production follows a predictable bellshaped curve. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil in marion king hubbert s 1956 speech about peak oil, he asserted that global oil production would follow a bellshaped curve with a.
King hubbert fits the growth and decay of petroleum production using the. Marion king hubbert was an american geologist and geophysicist. Hubbert peak theory chelsea fufaro, brianna wallace, ray sites intro marion king hubbert october 5, 1903 october 11, 1989 was a geoscientist who worked at the shell research lab in houston, texas. Marion king hubbert, american geophysicist and geologist known for his theory of the migration of fluids in subsurface rock strata. Married marion king hubbert, a geophysicist and son of william bee and cora virgina lee hubbert. Marion king hubbert american geophysicist britannica. Hubbert, marion king the handbook of texas online texas. Similarly, the hubbert quorum invokes the name of the eminent geophysicist marion king hubbert, who contributed immensely to the understanding of the role of. Explore marion king hubbert s biography, personal life, family and cause of death.
It was a reexamination of a model developed for the first time by marion king hubbert in 1956. If you happen to be someone who is interested in the topic of peak oil, you know the name m. He attended the university of chicago, where he received his b. It is one of the primary theories on peak oil choosing a particular curve determines a point of maximum production based on discovery rates, production rates and cumulative production. Marion king hubbert october 5, 1903 october 11, 1989 was an american geologist and geophysicist. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil in marion king hubberts 1956 speech about peak oil, he asserted that global oil production would follow a bellshaped curve with a peak. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil peak oil.
Debates about hubbert s predictions were intense in. Photo courtesy of digital collections, american heritage center, university of wyoming. This theory, now known as hubberts peak theory, applies to both individual oil fields and to global oil reserves as a whole. The person in question was marion king hubbert, a preeminent geoscientist who today is best known for his theory of peak oil. King hubbert and peak oil from a distance of 40 years. Although it provided successful predictions for the production of crude oil in the us, the interest in oil depletion waned in the 1980s. King hubbert outlined in blue and other prominent leaders of the technocratic movement hubbert was born in san saba, texas. This theory, now known as hubbert s peak theory, applies to both individual oil fields and to global oil reserves as a whole.
In 1956, a geophysicist named marion king hubbert hypothesized that all rates of oil production follow a bellshaped curve and will eventually peak and decline according to predictable patterns. Marion king hubbert was born october 5, 1903, in central texas. Contentsshow biography he attended the university of. A recent vacation afforded me the opportunity to read the oracle of oil, mason inmans excellent new biography of marion king hubbert. King hubbert, geophysicist, son of william bee and cora virginia lee hubbert, was born in san saba, texas, on october 5, 1903.
His curve has become known as the hubbert curve and has become a controversial topic for energy experts. Doan 5635 bent branch road, bethesda, maryland 20816 marion king hubbert, one of the outstanding geologists and geophysicists of this century, died in his sleep in the early hours of october 11, 1989, as the result of an embolism. Petroleum trap, underground rock formation that blocks the movement of petroleum and causes it to accumulate in a reservoir that can be exploited. Marion king hubbert october 5, 1903 october 11, 1989 was a geoscientist who worked at the shell research lab in houston, texas. In 1956, geologist and shell oil researcher marion king hubbert delivered a speech that has shaped world. He spent his childhood on farms and ranches in texas and attended weatherford college, a small junior college nearby, from 1921 to 1923. Note from the hubbert quorum volcano hazards program.
That changed in the 1950s, when a geophysicist named marion king hubbard developed a curve that was applied to fossil fuel particularly oil supplies. Debates about hubberts predictions were intense in his lifetime and continue today. Specifically, hubbert s peak refers to the point at which this production rate is at its highest with demand for the resource rising, and after this it predicts a drop in correlation to the increased demand. King hubbert published a model for the growth and decline over time of the production rates of oil extracted from the land mass of the continental us. A bellshaped production curve, as originally suggested by m. Marion king hubbert born 1903, died 1989, know as m. A maverick geologists quest for a sustainable future. When he wrote this memo and presented it he was working for shell oil as a geologist. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil in marion king hubbert s 1956 speech about peak oil, he asserted that global oil production would follow a bellshaped curve with a peak. Marion king hubbert 19031989 was born in texas and received a ph. The first cycle of interest in oil depletion was started by marion king hubbert in the 1950s. Hubbert and rubey, 1959 and also had an abiding interest in the sig. Described as brilliant but shorttempered, dr hubbert made.
He was born in the year of the rabbit, which means. When he wrote this memo and presented it, he was working for shell oil as a geologist. From 19431964 he worked for shell oil in houston as a. Marion king hubbert is a popular geologist from texas.
Marion king hubbert archives andrew willnerandrew willner. He worked at the shell research lab in houston, texas. I wanted to begin my new series of articles about the petroleum with a presentation of king hubbert and his searches, because any subject on the future of the petroleum, its price, its production, and about metals turns around problems that king hubbert splendidly developed there is half a century. Discover the real story, facts, and details of marion king hubbert. Fanny ferguson married marion king hubbert, a geophysicist and son of william bee and cora virgina lee hubbert. The first person to advance the peak oil theory publicly was marion king hubbert, an american geoscientist who worked as a researcher for the shell oil company from 1943 to 1964 and taught geophysics at stanford university and other institutions. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil peak oil news. He made several important contributions to geology, geophysics, and petroleum geology, most notably the hubbert curve and hubbert peak theory, with important political ramifications. A statistical theory of oil production that states that the rate of extraction from a particular region follows a bell shaped curve. Hubbert s peak or hubbert s curve is a model that approximates the production rate of a resource over a period of time. Marion king hubbert generated prescient and unwelcome forecasts in 1956 and again in 1962, that annual u. In the paper that he presented to the american petroleum institute hubbert correctly predicted that production of oil would peak in the continental us around 19651970. King hubbert in 1956 hubbert made several contributions to geophysics, including a mathematical demonstration that rock in the earths crust, because it is under immense pressure in large areas, should exhibit plasticity, similar to clay.
King hubbert a recent vacation afforded me the opportunity to read the oracle of oil, mason inmans excellent new biography of marion king hubbert. Marion king hubbert is guy most of you havent heard of before but in the coming decades as global oil production goes into terminal decline you will most likely be hearing his name. Hubbert is famous for peak oil, but in this paper he suggests a solution to the peak oil problem. V oblasti geologie a geofyziky publikoval nekolik vyznamnych prispevku, nejznamejsim z nich je hubbertova teorie ropneho vrcholu, ktery mel silne politicke dopady. Mar 24, 20 marion king hubbert was an unlikely prophet. Marion king hubbert lamontdoherty earth observatory. He became an authority on the migration and entrapment of petroleum and the social implications of world mineralresource exploitation. In march 1998, scientific american published a paper titled the end of cheap oil.
The hubbert peak theory says that for any given geographical area, from an individual oilproducing region to the planet as a whole, the rate of petroleum production tends to follow a bellshaped curve. Det kendteste bidrag er hubberts studier af olie og naturgasfelters reserver. Marion king hubbert 19031989 was a petroleum geologist working at shells research laboratory in houston, texas. King hubbert used in creating his famous hubbert curve that predicted the us lower 48 statesus48 1970 oil production peak. He had a different viewpoint than nearly every other geologist and engineer when, in 1956, he predicted that the u. The oil is accompanied always by water and often by natural gas. After teaching at columbia university until 1941, he served as senior analyst of world mineral resources on the board of economic warfare during world war ii. Hubbert s peak, the economy, and war for oil opednews. Hubbert peak theory wikimili, the best wikipedia reader. From there he went to the university of chicago, where he received his b.
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